Sunday, September 09, 2007

Pennant Race

Team W L PctGBGROdds
Milwaukee73690.5140.02056.6%
Chicago72700.5071.02033.2%
St. Louis69710.4933.02210.2%
Cincinnati64790.4489.5190.0%
Pittsburgh63800.44110.5190.0%
Houston62810.43411.5190.0%

The Tief Championship Probability Estimator now calculates that the Brewers odds of winning the NL Central are again over 50%.

With a few more tweaks, I am going to take this thing national and make it known and available to natonal sports writters and bloggers. I'd like to give it a different, more generic, more non-Tief name. Have any ideas?

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

The I have alot of time on my hands to make up things that are meaningless, please be my friend estimator

Anonymous said...

at least i am providing something useful. bud was right about you.

Its interesting that all the pitchers hate Questec and the hitters love it. Why don't we get the all important ball strike call right 99.9% of the time instead of 85-90%. Bud claims the umps get it right 98%. If that were true, you wouldn't need questec. Maybe we should forget about automated assembly lines and go back to making everything by hand of the miserable factory worker who beats his wife and comes to work either hungover or drunk.

Let's see, the NLF, NBA, NHL and USTA all use advanced technolgy to get the officiating calls right. Baseball still uses biased fat out of shape partially blind humanoids to call the game as they see fit. based on whether he likes/dislikes the hitter/pitcher and whether he thinks the hitter or the pitcher is better. Along with bringing all of his personal problems along with him to the job. And he's asked to judge something traveling at 90 miles an hour and moving in all directions only 200 times per game. Technology, schmechnology. Play ball, I mean strike. wait I really didn't get a good look at it.
xking out

Scott Segrin said...

Did Bud tell you about the Enhanced Gameday system that MLB rolled out this year? (He may not know about it.) It's a system very similar to - if not one in the same as Questec. The system digitizes the x-y coordinates of the release point, the speed, arc, and break of every pitch. I'm certain it could be used to accurately call balls and strikes. Anyway, I'm interested in it from a baseball researcher's point of view. I don't give a hoot about umpires getting the calls right. What I do care about is the wealth of research information available from a system such as this. Does a pitchers release point change as he tires? How far outside will a particular batter chase a pitch? Does a curveball break more in Miami than it does in Denver? If such a system can track pitches like this, it will also someday be able to track the path of batter balls as well. It could record the exact position of the fielders before, during and after a pitch. Someday this game WILL be played on a microchip - you mark my word.

[I invited you as a regular author to the blog. Completely voluntary of course. I think all you need is the same Google login that you use to get into Google Groups. After inviting Joe and Max I was begining to rethink the guest author thing, but some of your stuff it too good to keep hidden in the comments. I'll probably keep the blog open indefinitely - at least into next season.]

Scott Segrin said...

p.s. if you google "under the skin of enhanced gameday" there is a good article and some links about the system.